‘The Situation is Dire’: War on Iran Constricts India's LPG Availability.
The repercussions of a conflict being fought nearly 3,000km away are now being felt in India's kitchens.
As US-Israeli strikes on Iran disrupt energy shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, stocks of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) are shrinking across India, pushing restaurants to shorten food lists, close earlier and in some cases cease operations entirely.
Social media is filled with video clips showing queues outside cooking-gas dealers across Indian urban and rural areas as worries over fuel supplies grow. Businesses appear the most affected: the biggest crunch is in restaurant kitchens.
"The situation is dire. LPG simply isn't available," says a spokesperson of the National Restaurant Association of India.
Most eateries run either on commercial LPG cylinders or direct gas lines, and the scarcities are now being felt across the country. "Numerous restaurants have shut down - some in northern India, many in the south. People are switching to solid fuels and electronic appliances to keep food preparation going."
City-Specific Fallout
In a financial hub, local news say up to a significant portion of hospitality businesses are already completely or partially closed as commercial LPG supplies tighten. In the southern cities of tech and coastal hubs, some restaurants say their cylinder inventory have depleted with little backup. "Our menu is reduced to coffee and no food items - it is nothing less than pathetic. Operations will be impacted," says a chain proprietor in Bengaluru.
Restaurant owners are seeking alternatives. "Food options are being cut, some are opening only for dinner and opening only for dinner," an industry representative says, adding that shutdowns are fluctuating as supplies wax and wane. "Three restaurants in Delhi were shut yesterday - a couple are back in business. It's a changing landscape."
Retailers report a increase in sales of electronic cooking appliances, with some saying they are facing stockouts.
Authority's View
Yet, the authorities insists there is no shortage.
India has more than 30 crore domestic LPG users and authorities say cylinders are being reallocated to households as tensions from the war in the Gulf affect energy markets.
Roughly a majority of India's LPG is sourced from abroad, and about 90% of those imports pass through the critical waterway, the vital passage now significantly disrupted by the war.
The relevant department says that it ordered refineries to increase LPG output for household consumption, enhancing domestic production by about 25%. Business-grade fuel is being allocated for essential sectors such as medical and academic centers, while distribution will be "just and open".
"Unnecessary hoarding and accumulation has been triggered by false reports. The standard supply timeline for home fuel remains about two-and-a-half days," says a senior official.
Growing Panic
Now the anxiety is extending beyond kitchens. On online networks, a widely shared video from Chennai shows a long, snaking queue of motorbikes outside a gas outlet. "Concern is genuine," the text reads.
According to data from market experts, concerns about India's broader energy security may be exaggerated.
India imports the overwhelming majority of its crude oil. Around a significant portion of its oil purchases - about 2.5 to 2.7 million barrels a day - travel through the strait, largely from Middle Eastern nations.
Even if petroleum transit through the Strait of Hormuz are disrupted, the gap could be partly offset by higher imports of discounted Russian crude, according to a industry commentator.
Based on maritime intelligence and expert analysis, increased Russian crude imports could reach around a significant volume of barrels a day, lessening India's effective deficit from exposure to the Strait of Hormuz to about 1.6 million barrels a day.
"Tens of millions of Russian oil barrels are currently in transit at sea in the Indian Ocean and, with only key buyers as major buyers, those barrels remain a viable alternative," an analyst noted.
Kitchen Fuel: The Primary Concern
The primary concern is LPG, commentators observe.
India consumes roughly a million barrels a day, but produces only a minority share domestically, importing the rest - 80–90% through Hormuz.
Refineries can adjust processes to squeeze out a bit more LPG, but even a limited rise would only raise domestic supply to about 47-50% of demand, leaving the country largely dependent on imports.
In short: "Petroleum shortage concerns can be somewhat alleviated through alternative sourcing. Fuel availability remains relatively comfortable. Cooking gas supply is the critical issue to track in the coming weeks."
What may be heightening the panic on the ground is not just limited availability but erratic supply chains - and the familiar spectre of stockpiling.
An industry representative claims opportunistic profiteering.
"Suppliers are taking advantage of the situation - illegally trading canisters and selling them at a premium. In one small town, I heard of cylinders being accumulated and sold at a premium."
For now, India's energy imports may be cushioned by international market dynamics. But in homes across the country, the more urgent issue is simple: how to get the next refill.